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2030 Forecast Logo

USA

USA

Weekly CO2e emissions
‍reduction target
7–11 September 2022

102 416 061 t CO₂e

Total CO2e emissions
7–11 September 2022

+

 

%

108 693 977 t CO₂e

Select country to see actual CO₂e emissions:

Total CO2e emissions by emissions category, in percentages above/below target emissions levels to reach 2030 emissions reduction targets (in line with the Paris Agreement).

Weekly Target Emissions

Below Target

Above Target

Black bars indicate actual total emissions targets by emissions category. Red or green bars indicate weekly emissions levels by emissions category, above or below weekly targets.

Ground Transport

Weekly Total: 36 558 222 t CO₂e
Part of US total: ≈33,6%

Weekly Target: 33 022 661 t CO₂e
Above Target: +10,7%

Domestic Industry

Weekly Total: 33 548 501 t CO₂e
Part of US total: ≈30,8%

Weekly Target: 34 363 725 t CO₂e
Below target: -2,4%

Energy Consumption

Weekly Total: 33 567 443 t CO₂e
Part of US Total: ≈30,8%

Weekly Target: 31 496 687 t CO₂e
Above Target: +6,6%

Domestic Aviation

Weekly Total: 5 019 811 t CO₂e
Part of US Total: ≈4,6%

Weekly Target: 3 532 988 t CO₂e
Above Target: +42.1%

We forecast our collective progress towards reaching the 2030 emissions reduction targets (in line with the Paris Agreement) by indicating weekly performance in the highest emissions categories, by country.

Current models assume to limit global warming to 1.5°C – as called for in the Paris Agreement – emissions need to be reduced by 50% by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050.

2022

2030

2050

Reducing GHG emissions by 50% by 2030 would limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, the target scientists say is required to avoid the worst consequences of the climate crisis.

Current models predict global temperatures will stabilize when carbon dioxide emissions reach net zero. For 1.5°C (2.7°F), this means achieving net zero carbon dioxide emissions globally by 2050.

Total global CO2e emissions

The challenge is that currently, only 3.6% of countries globally are using satellites to track greenhouse gas emissions.

The number of greenhouse gas emissions tracking sources and locations, and the accessibility to current and reliable data, has to increase to generate the awareness needed, in order for governments and companies to prioritize required decarbonization strategies on a global scale. Aggressive decarbonization strategies will be essential to meeting the ambitious emissions reduction targets required, to reach net zero by 2050.

Kayrros is a world-leading energy and environmental geo-analytics company that aims to track every country's progress in reaching its carbon emissions reduction targets. The 2030 Forecast is a solution that invites governments and companies to collaborate and contribute to putting the planet on the path to net zero.

Find out how you can take action

Great resources from organizations on learning how to get involved and curb the trajectory.

”Helping the public understand current carbon emissions levels will build awareness and drive political and market change. In the US, this data has been hard to find until now but the 2030 Forecast makes it visible to all - democratizing access to accelerate climate action.”

Johan Pihl

Co-Founder & CINO

Doconomy

”Data trans­parency is key to ensuring that we make the right decisions not just in public policy and corporate practices, but also in our everyday life.”

Alexandre d’Aspremont

Scientific Director

Kayrros

”As countries and individuals work towards a carbon neutral future, we need to promote climate literacy by leveraging data and technology to measure nation-based environmental impact to help accelerate those efforts.”

Helena Kernell

Head of Impact

Doconomy

Featured in:

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Building on the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, released in April 2022

We analyze greenhouse gas emissions based on satellite images and other data sources compared to officially reported data, this approach offers the benefit of an increased frequency in the availability of data updates.

Methodology

We analyze greenhouse gas emissions based on satellite images and other data sources provided by our partner, Kayrros. Compared to officially reported data, this approach offers the benefit of an increased frequency in the availability of data updates – within days as opposed to months or years – and with a higher level of accuracy. We are building on the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, released in April 2022, which requests urgent action to halve emissions by 2030 and contribute to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals.

Starting from emissions generated between May 2021 and April 2022, we have set a halving target for the end of 2030. Yearly reduction targets are set linearly, and weekly targets are adjusted seasonally. This means that we assume constant decreases from one year to another, but we distribute these across the year, depending on the specifics of each category. For example, power plant emissions strongly increase in the cold season while ground transport produces a higher footprint during the summer. We then compare new data to these targets on a weekly basis, to monitor progress. When weekly targets are missed, the excess emissions accumulate as a “carbon debt”. This debt increases the burden on achieving future targets. Conversely, when weekly emissions totals fall below weekly targets, this leads to a “carbon credit”, reducing the accrued carbon debt and decreasing the burden of achieving future targets.

Our methodology is designed to make the most of available data and improve as more data points become available, and is guided by the belief that everyone on this planet can make a contribution to shaping our climate future. Find the full methodology from Kayrros here

The importance of access to near real-time national greenhouse gas emissions data

We believe that access to near real-time national greenhouse gas emissions data by the public is the starting point for understanding progress towards greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals, in line with the Paris Agreement targets for 2030 (outlined in the latest IPCCC report from April 28, 2022). It is our collective responsibility to access and understand environmental impact data, to motivate the required behavior changes both as individuals and companies that will ensure the sustainable future of our planet.

The initiative does not aim to ensure relevance in the short-term, but to create a foundation where greenhouse gas emissions data becomes part of the daily conversation, much like the the stock or real estate markets. We believe climate literacy can be addressed in the long-term by ensuring public awareness of progress towards targets and goals. Forecasting or measuring progress in reaching greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets should be prioritized by individuals, companies and governments, and we invite you to start understanding how.

If you would like to contribute to improving the accuracy of our data, please contact us here

If you are a news organization or publisher and want to publish country-level greenhouse gas emissions data, please contact us here

Data disclaimer

The 2030 Forecast is an ongoing project, optimizing and updating emissions data continuously. We would like to point out that we are continuously analyzing and adjusting emissions data to accommodate seasonal factors and anomalies (as occurred during the ongoing pandemic). We are confident in forecasting our progress using near-real-time environmental geo-analytics of emissions data, providing a clear indication of the trajectory of emissions. Most importantly by tracking emissions via satellites with a combination of ground-based data sources, as opposed to relying on outdated self-reported data, we can start to create a more accurate and unbiased assessment. Contact us

Kayrros Logo

Kayrros is a leading energy and environmental geo-analytics company that aims to help corporations and governments make better decisions based on environmental impact through advanced data analytics.

www.kayrros.com
Doconomy Logo

Doconomy provides leading environmental impact data services for individuals and companies to help educate, engage and reduce environmental impact.

www.doconomy.com